Besides numerous trade wars going on in the world, the US is about to embark on another one despite having one against China. This time, US is apparently going to declare a trade war against the European Union (EU).
The Trump administration has announced that they will impose tariffs on USD 7.5 billion in European imports. Reportedly, the tariffs will mainly address products such as cheese and wine, and will be active starting from October 18.
Accordingly, this novel US-EU trade war will soon enlist in the trade war universe. In addition, its existence potentially contributes to catastrophic global economy slowdown. Thus, it will further damage the main artery of world trade.
In response to the administration’s statement, EU thinks that it does not make sense. Additionally, EU will ‘rebalance’ tariffs on USD 3 million worth of US steel, agricultural and other products.
Also, many analysts even argue that President Trump is simply following his ego. A new trade war will surely backfire since Washington is currently suffering from another dispute against Beijing.
“I would ask the United States to negotiate with us rather than having a tit-for-tat trade war that only does damage to both economies,” said Phil Hogan, European Commissioner for Agriculture and Rural Development.
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What Caused the War and What It Might Cause
The chief cause of the war was the ‘illegal’ assistance from EU to Airbus, a European multinational aerospace corporation. Accordingly, Airbus is a competitor of Boeing, US multinational corporation working on the same field.
Considering the disadvantageous move to Boeing, US does not want to sit idly. After pledging for a tariffs to WTO and getting the approval, Trump administration began to make its move.
After WTO declared that EU illegally helped Airbus, EU said the same thing about the US that they have been illegally helping Boeing. However, WTO has not given any words pertinent to the report.
Phil Hogan said that US move might be dangerous for itself. Besides the negative, direct impact to its economy, US might have to deal with any potential issue that might arise if something goes wrong for Boeing.
In addition, this might strengthen the possibility of global recession. Analysts argue that they do not need another trade war for the existent ones are more than enough.
“This step triggers fears of a new round of escalation of tariff wars. The introduction of tariffs and fears of tit-for-tat steps could further suppress business sentiment, which is already at the lowest levels for years,” said Alex Kuptsikevich, a financial analyst with brokerage FxPro.
US participation in some trade wars, this one and the US-China trade war, shows that US cannot do as it pleases. This is so for, although US has arguably become the big ‘daddy’ of the global economy, other parties are not under its control in terms of economy.
Even worse, for Trump personally, any disadvantageous outcomes will affect his electability. Since the upcoming presidential election is getting closer, his trade wars will do more harm to him.
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